Day Trading with Volume Profile – My Recent Trades on ES and NQ

Video Transcript:

Hey everyone, it’s Dale here. I decided to start shooting these short videos about my recent trades so you guys know what I’m up to all day. Let’s start with two trades I had yesterday. They were on NQ and ES.

Maybe you guys saw the prediction on TradingView because I posted it on Monday. I also sent it in an email. Here is the prediction on ES and how it played out. Also, here is the prediction on NQ, and this is how that one played out.

Now let me switch over to the NinjaTrader 8 platform and show you how I traded this.

Alright, this is the NinjaTrader 8 platform. This is the ES chart, a 30-minute chart of ES. Here is the level—this is the long level. It was based on a significant volume cluster formed within an uptrend. Also, let me zoom out a little bit. It was based on the fact that the price had reacted to this zone in the past—not exactly to the level, but close enough—so that was more or less the reasoning behind that level.

As you can see, the price reacted very nicely to it. My stop loss was placed right here, at the bottom of this candle. Regarding my take profit, I usually aim for a bigger risk-reward ratio than 1:1. In this case, though, I just took a trade with a 1:1 risk-reward ratio. My take profit was right here. The reason for that was that if you look here, the price made a strong reaction to this level in the past. When the price blew past that level, it turned into resistance, so there was a risk the price would react again at this resistance. That’s why I closed my trade here.

This wasn’t the only reason I didn’t go for a bigger risk-reward ratio. Another reason was that I was trading against a strong spike move, which made this a riskier trade overall. That’s why I wanted to exit the trade quickly—I didn’t know if the move could continue strongly against me, so I preferred to secure my profit before anything like that happened.

There was also a third reason: at the same time, I was also long on another trade on NQ. These trades were very similar. Let me show you the NQ chart now.

In this case, the level was based on the daily volumes. This was the long level, and as you can see, there was also a sharp sell-off here. Again, I was trading against a strong spike. I entered two long positions against that strong spike, and since NQ and ES are very correlated pairs, they often move the same way. This meant I was exposing myself to quite a bit of risk by taking both trades simultaneously. That’s why I aimed for a 1:1 risk-reward ratio and exited both trades quickly.

On NQ, my stop loss was here, and my take profit was roughly around here. There was also a past reaction at this level, so I figured the price could potentially reverse from that point, making it an ideal place to exit the trade.

Sure, if you look at the chart now, it’s clear I could have held the trade longer and made a much larger profit. But that’s hindsight. In the moment, while trading live, it wasn’t clear. I didn’t want to risk exposing myself too much and potentially take double the loss on both trades if they went against me. Fortunately, both trades worked out nicely, and I secured profits on both. I’d say all is good.

There was also one trade in that prediction I sent out on the AUD/USD. However, the long level I published here got missed—right around here. After the price reacted slightly before hitting the level, I discarded the trade setup and no longer wanted to trade that level.

So, those were the trades I wanted to show you. Of course, I have more trades, but I wanted to focus on the ones based on the public predictions I shared. I also post daily predictions in the members’ area—this is how it looks. These are the latest predictions I published yesterday, and this is what I’m trading or planning to trade today.

If you want to join us, just go to my website at trader-dale.com. If you click on Trading Course and Tools, it will take you to this page, where you can browse my trading courses, custom indicators, and join us.

That’s about it! I hope you liked the video. Let me know in the comments if you like this format, if you’d like to see something different, or if you have any ideas on how to improve it. I’ll be looking forward to seeing you next time in another video. Until then, happy trading!

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