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Video Transcript:
Hello, everyone! Itβs Dale
here with a new weekly trading ideas video. What you see before you is the
NinjaTrader 8 platform with my custom Volume Profile and VWAP indicators. The
chart displayed is the EUR/USD on a 30-minute time frame.
I want to discuss a strong
newly-formed resistance at 0.0576. This resistance is based on the fact
that the EUR/USD has started to rotate and is currently in a
consolidation phase. For this reason, we can look for short opportunities from
significant rejection levels like this. Since this level has already been
tested, as shown by the reaction here, what remains is this strong rejection
that has not yet been tested. This untested level represents a place where
strong sellers rejected higher prices. What happened here was that the price
gradually moved upward, then suddenly reversed sharply, indicating the presence
of aggressive and strong sellers.
If you examine the Volume
Profile, it may initially seem a bit harder to interpret, but it does reveal a
volume cluster beginning at this level, marking the area where sellers entered
the market and drove the price downward. Additionally, thereβs a Fair
Value Gap (FVG) here, highlighted in red. The beginning of this FVG
aligns with our resistance level. I prefer to trade from the beginning of Fair
Value Gaps, which adds to the strength of this level. Given the strong
rejection, the volume cluster, and the FVG, alongside the consolidating EUR/USD,
all signs suggest this is a good level to short. Now we just need to wait for a
pullback. If the price reaches this level, it offers an ideal shorting
opportunity.
A similar scenario occurred
on the AUD/USD. Looking at the 30-minute chart, there was a sharp
reversal accompanied by a Fair Value Gap. The beginning of the FVG marked the
reaction level. However, unlike the EUR/USD, this level on the AUD/USD
has already been tested, meaning it is no longer valid for trading. This makes
the EUR/USD level even more attractive.
Apart from this resistance, thereβs another one on the EUR/USD at 1.0623, based on a similar scenario. This level was formed during a sharp rejection of higher prices, with a heavy volume zone within the rejection. Thereβs also a Fair Value Gap at this level, and its beginning marks the resistance. When the price returns to this level, thereβs a high probability of a reaction due to the combination of the FVG, the heavy volume zone, and the strong selling activity. Additionally, the Flexible Profile tool, applied over the entire rotation area, reveals significant volumes. While the zone is wide, the sharp rejection and the FVG help pinpoint the exact resistance. The Weekly Volume Profile also confirms this level, as the weekly Point of Control (POC) aligns with it, adding further strength.
Now letβs move to the GBP/USD.
This pair is currently in a nice downtrend, so Iβm looking for short trades
only. The closest short level is at 1.2674. Using the Volume Profile
over Fridayβs session, we can see that the Point of Control (POC) was at this
level, representing the area with the heaviest trading activity. From this
zone, a strong sell-off began, indicating sellers were actively building short
positions before pushing the price downward. Although the volumes alone may not
make the level entirely clear, the presence of a Fair Value Gap provides
additional confirmation. The beginning of the FVG aligns with the resistance
level, making it an excellent spot for a short trade once the price pulls back.
Another resistance level on
the GBP/USD can be found at 1.2741. This level is based on
massive volumes formed within the downtrend, a strong rejection zone, and the
beginning of another Fair Value Gap. Together, these elements form a robust
resistance level.
Next, letβs look at the USD/CAD
30-minute chart. Thereβs a strong support level at 1.4046. This support
is based on a sharp rejection of lower prices, which was accompanied by a heavy
volume cluster. This cluster indicates that buyers stepped in at this level and
pushed the price aggressively upward. Additionally, thereβs a bullish Fair
Value Gap here, highlighted in green. The beginning of the FVG marks the
support level. This support combines rejection, heavy volumes, and the FVG,
making it a great opportunity for a long trade when the price pulls back. For
those using Order Flow, you can monitor this area to better time your trade
entries and exits.
Before continuing with the
next trading idea, let me briefly mention the Black Friday Sale
currently running on my website. If you visit Trader-Dale.com and click on the “Trading
Course and Tools” button, it will take you to the sale page. Here, you
can find my most popular trading courses and indicators, including the Volume
Profile Pack, which teaches everything about Volume Profile trading, and the
Order Flow Pack, which focuses on day trading with Order Flow. Both packs are
available together at a massive Black Friday discount of $497.
Before wrapping up, Iβd like
to announce the winner of last weekβs contest. The prize was my custom-made
Volume Profile and VWAP indicators for the TradingView platform. The winnerβs
name is displayed on your screenβcongratulations! For the next contest, simply
leave a comment below this YouTube video. Iβll randomly pick a winner next week
to receive these indicators.
Thank you for watching, and donβt forget to like the video and subscribe to my channel for more trading ideas. Until next time, happy trading!
