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Video Transcript:
Hey
everyone. Dale couldnβt make it today, so it will be me doing the weekly
trading ideas video. First off, before we look at the charts, let me wish you a
happy Halloween. And just a quick note about the sale that Dale is running on
his website. If you go to trader-dale.com
and click the Trading
Course & Tools button, then until the end of the month, you can get
a special Halloween discount on the best educational and indicator packs. You
can see them here. You can get them separately, or scroll down a bit and you
can get all of them for a discounted price. All four packs together. All right,
so letβs now check out the charts, shall we?
Today
we are going to look at three trading ideas. The first will be on AUD/USD.
What you see before you is the AUD/USD 30-minute chart. The platform is
NinjaTrader 8 with my custom-made Volume Profile and VWAP indicators. The level
that I want to talk about is a support which formed right here. The reason
behind this support is my favorite setup. This setup needs to have an opening
gap like this, and behind the gap, there needs to be a heavy volume zone like
this one. This doesnβt occur that often on Forex, but since Trump is the
president, this happens more often than before. What you do when you see this
is you wait for the pullback. The gap needs to get filled, and then the price
hits that heavy volume zone and goes up from there. Usually it does. This setup
has a very, very high win rate. So first we need the gap, then we need the
heavy volume zone, and the price often closes the gap rather sooner than later,
reacts to the heavy volume zone, and should look like this. So thatβs what I
plan to do on AUD/USD. Right now, Iβm just waiting for that pullback, and when
it occurs, Iβm going to go long. I expect this to be sooner rather than later.
All right, so thatβs the setup on AUD/USD. Letβs now check out the next trading
idea.
The
next one will be on USD/JPY. This is a 30-minute chart of USD/JPY. What
I want to show you here is a support right here. This support is based on this
massive heavy volume zone at the start of this uptrend. As you can see, rather
heavy volumes were accumulated here before the uptrend started. If thereβs a
pullback to it, itβs very likely that the price will react to this heavy volume
zone because what the heavy volume zone represents here are buyers who
accumulated their long positions here and afterwards pushed the price even higher.
So those buyers should be active again when the price retraces back to this
level, and that is why the price should react there. What also adds strength to
that level is that there is a Fair
Value Gap here, highlighted in green, and the level is at the beginning of
it. I like to trade from the beginning of Fair Value Gaps, especially when it
aligns with a heavy volume zone like this. Right now, Iβm waiting for that
pullback. The price is currently a bit far from the level, but I donβt really
mind waiting. When the price hits that level β could be this week, next week,
in a month β I donβt really care, but Iβll go long from there.
By
the way, there was a nice level here on USD/JPY β this little volume
cluster. Beautiful reaction to it. Unfortunately, this happened during macro
news β this was the CPI news on Friday β so I wasnβt able to trade this because
of the news. Iβm not trading during the news. But it was a good level to trade
from β if only it wasnβt hit during the macro news. The reason is that there
was that favorite combo of mine: a trend, a heavy volume zone within the trend,
and also, if you look here, the price reacted here before. That means it was a
resistance that turned into support when the price went past that resistance.
Nice combo, nice reaction to it. Unfortunately, it got hit during macro news.
All right, so thatβs for USD/JPY.
Letβs
now take a look at USD/CHF. What you see before you is USD/CHF, and it
is a 30-minute chart. What I want to show you here is this support. The support
is based on a setup which is called the Rejection Setup. In here, we have a
strong rejection of lower prices. The price went downwards, then suddenly
changed and went up. When you see a strong significant rejection like this,
then you want to look into the volumes within the rejection and see how the
volumes are distributed. You want to see a significant volume cluster like this
one. This volume cluster is telling you that this is a place where buyers
started to jump in and reversed the price. Because of those buyers, the price
reversed. So this is the most important place within that rejection. Thatβs why
I have the level here at the beginning of that heavy volume zone. Right now,
Iβm waiting for the pullback, and if it occurs, then Iβm going to go long from
there. The buyers from here are likely to become active again and defend this
place, which is clearly important for them because it was important in the past
as well. So I am waiting for the pullback here, and then Iβll go long from
there.
Before I wrap the video up, Iβd like to announce the winner of a contest we had last time. The prize of the contest was my custom-made Volume Profile and VWAP indicators for the TradingView platform. And right now, on your screen, you see the name of the person who won the contest. So congratulations to the winner. What Iβll do next is another contest for next week. The only thing that you need to do to participate is leave a comment below this video, which Iβll publish on YouTube. Next week, Iβll randomly pick one person to win this set of custom-made indicators. So thatβs about that. Thanks for watching the video, and Iβll be looking forward to seeing you next time. Until then, happy trading.
