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Video Transcript:
Hello
everyone, it’s Dale here with a new weekly trading ideas video. What you see
before you is the NinjaTrader 8 platform with my custom Volume Profile and VWAP
indicators. The chart in front of you is the ES, which represents
futures for the S&P 500 index. This is a 30-minute chart, and as you can
see, the market opened with a significant gap right here. When there’s an
opening gap like this, I use a very powerful strategy that Iβd like to show
you. The strategy works as follows: First, the market needs to open with a gap.
Next, you need to identify a heavy volume zone that formed before the gap.
Using the Volume Profile, you can analyze the trend area and look for a
significant volume zone that stands out, like this one. So, again, there’s the
gap, and behind that gap, there’s a heavy volume zone. This heavy volume zone
should act as resistance because the zone formed with significant volume before
the price jumped and moved downward. If thereβs a pullback, the price often
tends to close these opening gaps. When the gap gets filled, the price
typically reacts to the heavy volume zone behind the gap. This is exactly what
I expect to happen on the ES. All we need to do now is wait for the
pullback. If it occurs, thereβs a good chance there will be a reaction from
that level.
Now
letβs take a look at another chart. The next one is for EUR/USD. This is
a 30-minute chart of EUR/USD, and here, there was also a small opening
gap, though not as large as the one on ES. What I want to highlight here
is the support at 1.0417. Let me use the Volume Profile to explain the
reasoning behind this support. As you can see, there was a small rotation with
a volume cluster, and from there, strong buying activity began. In this case,
itβs not so much about the volumes but the strength of the buying activity,
which signals aggressive buyers. These aggressive buyers jumped in from this
volume cluster. Additionally, thereβs a fair value gap here, which is a concept
from Smart Money trading. I like to trade from the beginning of the fair value
gap, which aligns perfectly with the level at 1.0417. This level also
coincides with the start of the strong aggressive buying activity and the
volume cluster. Furthermore, the weekly Volume Profile shows the weekly point
of control at this level, meaning the heaviest volumes of the entire week were
traded here. This adds considerable strength to the level. All these factors
suggest strong support. Now we need to wait for the pullback. If the price
reaches this level, it would be a good opportunity to go long.
Next,
letβs move on to AUD/USD. What you see here is a 30-minute chart of AUD/USD.
I already had one trade hereβa long from this reaction. This trade was based on
the volumes and the strong buying activity that followed. It played out nicely,
but the level is now spent, so I wonβt trade it again. What I want to discuss
instead is the resistance level. This strategy is similar to what I showed on ES.
There was an opening gap, and behind that gap, thereβs a heavy volume zone. If
thereβs a pullback, thereβs a good chance of a reaction from this heavy volume
zone. The logic is the same: on forex pairs, these gaps are often filled. Iβm
confident this level will be tested soon, and when it is, Iβll look to go short
from the beginning of the volume cluster.
Additionally,
thereβs a long level Iβm watching at 0.6275. If you look at the weekly
Volume Profile, youβll see the weekly point of control at this level. This
level is based on the weekly point of control and the strong buying activity
that started from it. I expect the strong buyers who were active here throughout
the previous week to defend this level and push the price upwards again, as
they did previously. So, Iβm currently waiting for the price to reach this
level for a potential long trade.
If
youβre interested in learning more about Volume Profile trading, head over to
my website, Trader-Dale.com. Click
the button labeled “Trading
Course and Tools” which will take you to a page where you can browse
my trading education and custom-made trading indicators. The Volume Profile
Pack teaches everything about day trading and swing trading with Volume
Profile, while the Order Flow Pack focuses on intraday trading with Order Flow.
Additionally, thereβs the new Smart Money Pack, which is dedicated to Smart
Money trading. You can get all three packs together at a discounted price on
the same page.
If
youβd like to trade with me and other prop firm traders daily in a live trading
room, check out the Funded
Trader Academy (FTA). Thereβs a video on the FTA page that explains
everything in more detail. If youβre interested, you can even book a one-on-one
call to determine if this is the right fit for you.
Before
wrapping up the video, Iβd like to announce the winner of our last contest. The
prize was my custom-made Volume Profile and VWAP indicators for the TradingView
platform. The name of the winner is displayed on the screen now.
Congratulations! For next weekβs contest, you just need to leave a comment
below this video, which Iβll publish on YouTube. Iβll randomly pick one person
to win the indicators in the next video.
Thanks for watching, and Iβll see you next time. Until then, happy trading!
Thanks Dale,
I have been following your webinars and weekly prediction, and they have been wonderful.
I am planning to purchase your courses very soon.
Hello Dale,
Congratulations on predicting the 90 point decline in the ES futures contract yesterday!!!