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Video Transcript:
Hi
everyone, it’s Dale here with a new weekly trading ideas video. I usually shoot
these on Mondays, but this time I got sick and wasnβt able to record on Monday.
Better late than never, right? So hereβs the new overview of the charts and the
strongest Volume Profile levels to trade from. Letβs check out the charts and
see what we have here.
The
chart before you is EUR/CHF, and itβs a 30-minute chart. The reason I
want to talk about this chart in particular is that it features one setup I
really like to trade. The setup goes like this:
There
needs to be an opening gap, which is becoming more common, especially since
Donald Trump became president. So first, there must be an opening gap. Behind
the gap, there needs to be a heavy volume zone. If you use the Flexible
Volume Profile, for example, like this, you can apply it over the area before
the gap. You can also select a wider rotation before the gap, but in either
case, you need to see heavy volumes there.
So,
step one is identifying the gap. Step two is confirming the heavy volume
zone before the gap. Once these conditions are met, you want to trade pullbacks
to the beginning of that heavy volume zone. In this case, my level is at 0.9441.
If the price returns to that level, you want to enter a short trade.
This
is my favorite setup when thereβs an opening gap, and these gaps are becoming
more frequent in forex, which is great. Now, we just need to wait for
the pullback. When the price reaches this level, we go shortβsimple as that.
If
one instrument opens with a gap, itβs very common for many others to do the
same, meaning you can trade this setup in multiple places. Let me show you how
this setup typically plays out.
The
same thing happened on ESβthere was a huge opening gap, a heavy
volume zone, and then the price pulled back to that zone, leading to a strong
reaction. Thatβs exactly what we expect to see.
The
same setup also appeared on NQβan opening gap, heavy volumes
behind it, and a trade from the beginning of that volume zone, leading to a
short opportunity.
Now,
letβs look at NZD/USD. The same thing happened hereβthere was a heavy
volume zone, a gap, and then a pullback into the volume zone, resulting in a
strong reaction. This is an incredibly reliable setup, and it’s currently
giving me an insane win rate.
Hereβs
another example on NZD/JPY. Again, we have a gap, a heavy volume zone
behind it, and a pullback to the beginning of that zoneβboom, another strong
reaction.
The
same thing happened on NZD/CHFβa rotation, then a gap, a pullback, and
another solid reaction. Insane, right? This setup is performing incredibly well
right now.
Of
course, no strategy wins 100% of the time. For example, I had a losing trade on
EUR/USD. There was a rotation with heavy volumes, followed by a gap. I
went short from here, but it hit my stop loss. No strategy is without losing
trades.
However,
one important thing to note is that when the price blasts through a
strong level like this, you can look for a reversal trade. That means
when the price gives you another opportunity at the same level, you can trade
in the opposite direction. In this case, after the failed short, I took a long
trade when the price returned, and it worked perfectly, effectively recovering
the loss.
Now,
back to EUR/CHFβas I said, we just need to wait for the pullback and
take the short trade from this heavy volume zone.
Before
we move to the next trading idea, just a quick noteβweβve just launched a
Valentine’s Day sale on my website. That means you can get my best
educational and indicator packs at a huge discount. Let me show you real
quick, and then weβll jump back into the charts.
If
you go to Trader-Dale.com and click Trading Course & Tools,
it will take you to the page where you can get the discount. If you scroll
down, youβll see my best packs at a discount:
- The Volume Profile Pack,
focusing on Volume Profile trading
- The Order Flow Pack,
focusing on day trading with Order Flow
- The VWAP Pack,
which teaches you everything about VWAP trading
All
these packs also include custom trading indicators for various
platforms.
Hereβs
the best partβif you scroll down, you can get all three packs together
for only $597. That includes all the indicators, full support, and
everything else. This is part of our special Valentineβs Day sale.
And
thereβs one more special thingβour guarantee policy. You can try
everything for two weeks, completely risk-free. If you donβt like it, if
you donβt find value in the indicators or education, just ask for a refundβno
questions asked.
And
hereβs something extraβyou still get to keep everything even if you
refund. Pretty sweet, right?
Now,
letβs go back to the charts and move on to USD/CHF.
Again,
youβre looking at a 30-minute chart. Here, we have a short level at
0.9880.
Let
me zoom in so you can see it better.
This
level is based on a combo of two trading setups. I like to use combos
whenever I can.
- First setup:
The Volume Profile Trend Setup. When thereβs a trend, you use the Volume
Profile over the trend area. You can apply it over the recent trend or
the entire trend. In this case, I prefer using it over the recent trend
because it makes it easier to read.
- What I want to see is a significant
volume cluster, like this one. I trade from the beginning of that
clusterβthis is our level. So, we wait for the pullback and go short
from here.
- The reason behind this level is that sellers
who added to their short positions here should become active again when
the price pulls back, pushing the price downward.
- Second setup:
Price Action Support Turned Resistance. This level previously acted
as a strong supportβthe price bounced from it multiple times. When
the price broke through this support, it turned into a new
resistance. That means when the price pulls back, it should react as
resistance.
Both
setups align, making this a strong level to trade from.
Oh,
and by the way, hereβs one more example of the opening gap + volume
zone setup. The price made a pullback to the heavy volume zone, and
boomβa strong reaction.
Next,
letβs look at AUD/CHF.
The
most important thing on this chart is this strong rejection of lower prices.
There was a strong sell-off, then the price aggressively reversed
upward. This signals buyer strength and aggression.
I
used the Volume Profile to analyze this rejection, and what I want to
see is a significant volume bump around where the price turned. That
tells us buyers stepped in aggressively and reversed the price.
This
is a key zone for buyers. The beginning of this zone is my long level
at 0.5592.
When
the price pulls back, buyers should defend this level, leading to
another upward move.
To
recap, today I showed you three key setups:
1. Gap
+ Heavy Volume Setup
2. Volume
Profile Trend Setup
3. Rejection
Setup
Each
works in different market conditionsβtrending, ranging, and gapping markets.
Try them out and see what results you get!
Before
I wrap up, I want to announce the winner of last weekβs contest. The
winner receives my custom Volume Profile and VWAP indicators for TradingView.
Congratulations to the winner!
For
next week, Iβm running another contest. Just comment below the YouTube video,
and Iβll randomly pick one person to win the indicators.
Thatβs all for todayβthanks for watching, and Iβll see you next time. Happy trading!