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Video Transcript:
Hello everyone, it’s Dale here with
new weekly trading ideas. What you see before you is the Ninja Trader 8
platform with my custom-made Volume Profile and VWAP indicators. The chart
before you is the AUD/USD 30-minute chart. As you can see, there has
been quite a ride here. This strong sell-off means that sellers are in control,
and we can track them with the Volume Profile.
Now, let’s see what happened here
today. If we look into this zone with the Volume Profile, what stands out is
this heavy volume zone, which occurred right before this sell-off. This tells
us that sellers were active here, building their short positions before the
sell-off. The beginning of that heavy volume zone is at 0.6486. I think
that if there is a pullback, there will be a reaction because the sellers from
here will want to defend this place, which is clearly important to them. We can
see that on the Volume Profile here, and they should push the price downwards
from there again.
Additionally, you can also see that
this is the low of the previous week. The price reacted twice to this level in
the past, and it was the low of the previous week, meaning it was support here
and here. The price went past the support, rendering it a new resistance. So,
this is a new resistance based on price action as well as this Volume Profile
setup. Two independent setups are telling us to go short from this place. What we
need to do now is just wait for that pullback and take it from there.
Now, there is one thing that is a
bit risky, and that’s this very strong rejection of lower prices. This tells us
that aggressive buyers may be here, rejecting the lower prices and pushing the
price up first. If the price goes aggressively to that level, you’ll want some
confirmation, ideally on order flow. You want confirmation that the sellers
from here are actually jumping in, defending this place, and pushing the price
downwards. This confirmation is especially important because of the strong
rejection of lower prices. If you just enter here blindly, the price could
shoot past this level, resulting in a losing trade. Ideally, if you have order
flow, wait for confirmation around the level and then enter the trade. If the
price shoots aggressively past the level, you can wait for a pullback to that
level again and go long from there. Even if it doesn’t get respected, it will
still be a strong level to trade from, only from the other side.
Alright, so that’s the plan for AUD/USD.
Let us now look into the next chart, which will be the USD/JPY. This is
a 30-minute chart of the USD/JPY. Again, we see a very nice trend here.
If you use the Volume Profile over that trend area, what stands out are those
significant volume zones. Now, I’m looking to trade from this one. The level is
144.5, and from this one, the level is at 148.8.
Volume zones like this one, showing
selling activity, or this selling activity here, indicate that the price is slowly
moving downwards without aggression. That’s why I picked those two levels; they
look stronger in my opinion. The first one is based on volumes created by
sellers pushing the price downwards. The idea behind this trade is to wait for
a pullback, where those sellers should defend the heavy volume zone and push
the price downwards. The logic behind the second one is the same; sellers are
building up their short positions, and they should defend this level if the
price comes here. Ideally, we see a pullback to the first level with a
reaction, then a pullback to the second level with another reaction.
Regarding the second chart, there’s
also a nice confluence because the price reacted to this level in the previous
week very nicely. This means it was a support that turned into resistance as
the support got breached. Alright, so nice additional price action setup here.
That’s for the USD/JPY.
Let’s now check out the next
trading idea, which will be on the CAD/JPY. This is a 30-minute chart of
the CAD/JPY. You can see a nice similarity between this and the USD/JPY
I just showed you. There’s a downtrend, and if you look into the volume
distribution here, it shows this heavy volume zone, this heavy volume zone, and
this heavy volume zone.
I’m not looking to trade this one
because no strong selling activity starts from there. However, I want to trade
this one because strong selling activity started from here, and this one
because strong selling activity started from here as well. As usual, I’m
trading from the beginnings of those heavy volume zones. Those are the levels 104.46
and 107.27. Ideally, we see a pullback to the first one with a reaction,
and then a pullback to the second one with another reaction.
Alright, so that’s the plan. If you
guys would like to learn more about Volume Profile trading, head over to my
website, trader-dale.com. If you
click “Trading
Course and Tools” it will take you to a page where you can browse my
trading education and tools. This is the Volume Profile pack, which will teach
you everything about Volume Profile trading. Below that, there’s the Order Flow
pack, which focuses on day trading with order flow. Below that, there’s the
newly released VWAP pack, which focuses on teaching you how to trade with VWAP.
All these packs include all the indicators you are going to need: Volume
Profile, VWAP, and Order Flow indicators. These are custom-made indicators
available for various trading platforms.
By the way, if you are interested in all three packs, you can get them together for one discounted price.
Alright, that’s about it. Now,
before I wrap up the video, I’d like to announce the winner of the contest we
had last time. The prize of the contest was my custom-made Volume Profile and
VWAP indicators for the TradingView platform. Right now, on your screen, you
see the name of the person who won the contest. Congratulations to the winner!
Next, I’ll do another contest for
the next week. The only thing you need to do to participate in this contest is
leave a comment below this video, which I’ll publish on YouTube. Next week,
I’ll randomly pick one person to win this set of custom-made indicators.
So, that’s about it. Thanks for
watching the video, and I’ll be looking forward to seeing you next time. Until
then, happy trading!
learning from this , really say than you very educational and of great benefit.thank you for sharing