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Video Transcript:
Hello
everyone, it’s Dale here. Welcome to the new weekly trading ideas video. Today,
we are going to cover three trading ideas. The first one will be on the ES,
then we will cover the EUR/USD, and finally, we will go over a trading
idea on the USD/CAD.
Before
that, I want to do a little recap of the trades and predictions from the
previous weekly trading ideas video. What you see on your screen here is the
TradingView website, where I publish the trading ideas. These three are the
ones from the previous week, so let’s check them out one by one and see how
they played out.
The
first one was on the USD/CAD. We had a resistance here. This resistance
still hasnβt been hitβas you can see, itβs still untested. So this is still a
viable trade to take. We just need to wait for that pullback and then go short
from there.
Now
the next oneβthat’s USD/JPY. This is actually a trade I took earlier
today. Let me load a couple of bars here so we can see the outcome. This was
the levelβthis support was based on the heavy volumes right here. This was the
reaction. I took a profit here earlier today. Good trade, by the way. The
stop-loss was below the wick of this candle, so the price missed that, and then
it went into full profit. So thatβs good.
The
next one is on the ES. This was a beautiful trade based on this support,
which was based on the fair value gap and the volumes before the gap. If I zoom
out a bit, you can see it played out. This was the support, and this was the
reaction. Super quick trade. So, there were two winners, and one level is still
viable to trade because it hasn’t been tested yet.
That’s
it for the past trades. Let’s now move on to the new trading ideas. But before
that, just a quick note: if you guys are interested in trading with me and
other prop traders in a live trading room, then I recommend going to my
website, Trader-Dale.com. If you
click the button labeled “FTA” it will
take you straight to a page where you can sign up with us.
The
reason Iβm saying this is that currently weβre running a 10% discount on the
Funded Trader Academy. The sale is ending today. So, if you want to join us,
then book a call hereβthereβs a one-on-one call you can book using this
calendar. Weβll walk you through the service, show you around, and then you can
decide whether or not this is right for you. Donβt forgetβthe 10% discount sale
is ending today.
Anyway,
that’s about that. Let’s now go to the charts and talk about the trading ideas.
What you see before you is NinjaTrader, a platform, and the chart is the ES
on a 30-minute timeframe. In here, there are two new resistancesβthis one at 5619
and this one at 5651. Both of these are based on the strong sell-off
which took place on Friday and the heavy volumes that got traded during that
sell-off. By that, I mean these heavy volumesβthose were sellers adding to
their short positions as the price dropped. As you can see, my levels are at
the beginnings of those heavy volume zones. These are places where the price is
likely to turn.
If
thereβs a pullback, chances are that the sellers will want to defend this
areaβwhich is clearly important for themβand push the price downward from
there. An ideal scenario would be another pullback like this and another
reaction from the level a bit higher.
Now,
for the lower level, there arenβt really any confluencesβonly the fair
value gap. Obviously, there’s a fair value gap, which comes from Smart
Money Concepts, and that adds strength to the level. But for the higher level,
thereβs even better confluence, I would say. The thing is, there was this
beautiful low, which means it was a support in the past, because the price
reacted to this level nicely. So this was a support, and when the price broke
past it, it turned into a resistance. At the same time, you can see that it’s
at the beginning of the heavy volume zone. Thatβs a beautiful confluenceβmy
favorite trading combo, actually. So yeah, Iβm definitely looking forward to
trading this one.
Right
now, we just wait. Iβll place limit orders there so I donβt miss the
tradesβjump into a short from here, and then another short from here. Thatβs
for the ES. This setup is called the trend setup. I like to trade it
when thereβs a trend like this one.
Letβs
go to the next one. The next one is on the euro. What you see before you is a
30-minute chart of EUR/USD. The level I want to talk about is a support
here at 1.0774. This support is based on a heavy volume zoneβthis
oneβand strong buying activity after this zone formed. This tells me that
buyers were building long positions here and then pushed the price aggressively
upward. Thatβs a place I like to trade from. I like to trade from the beginning
of the strong buying activity, which is marked by the beginning of the fair
value gap. This whole green area is the fair value gap. My level is at the
beginning of that gap, right here. Thatβs how I like to place my levels.
If
you look at the heavy volume zone more closely, you can see there are actually
two smaller heavy volume zonesβthis one and this one. I chose to trade from the
beginning of this one because it is the beginning of the fair value gap. Thatβs
the reason the level is where it is.
So
now, we just need to wait. If the price comes back to this level, we take it
from there. Thatβs for the euro.
Now
letβs move to the next trading idea, which is on the USD/CAD. What you
see here is a 30-minute chart. What I want to point out is this downtrend
turning into an uptrend. The place where the trend changed was hereβthis point.
If you look into the volume distribution in this area, you can see there were
some pretty heavy volumes. These heavy volumes are also visible on the weekly
volume profile right here.
Sellers
were pushing the price downwards. Then buyers started buying aggressively
hereβbuying everything the sellers had to offerβand eventually pushed the price
up into this new uptrend. This heavy volume zone is a very important area
because it’s where the trend changed and where heavy volumes were traded.
This
is the level I like to trade fromβa support at 1.4252. When the price
comes to that level, I think there will be a nice reaction, as the buyers from
here will want to defend this place, which is clearly important to them. The
level is set exactly here because there’s a little fair value gap. This is also
the beginning of the buying activity and, more or less, the beginning of the
heavy volume zone. Thatβs why the level is exactly where it is.
So
now, we just need to wait for a pullback and then take it from there.
Thatβs
about it, guys. I hope you enjoyed the video and found it useful. If youβd like
to learn more about Volume Profile trading or get your hands on my custom-made
indicators, then go to my website. If you’re not interested in the daily live
trading room (which is the FTA I already showed you), but you want the
self-study courses and indicators, then go to the “Trading
Course and Tools” section. On that page, you can browse my trading
education and custom-made trading indicators. You can get them separately, or
if you scroll down a bit, there’s a combo pack where you can get them all in
one discounted bundle.
Before
I wrap up the video, Iβd like to announce the winner of the contest we had last
time. The prize was my custom-made Volume Profile and VWAP indicators for the
TradingView platform. Right now, on your screen, you see the name of the person
who won the contestβcongratulations to the winner!
What
Iβll do next is launch another contest for next week. The only thing you need
to do to participate is leave a comment below this video, which Iβll publish on
YouTube. Next week, Iβll randomly pick one person to win this set of
custom-made indicators.
Thatβs about it. Thanks for watching the video, and Iβll be looking forward to seeing you next time. Until thenβhappy trading!